NMROII - A
Step Past GMROII?
By
Brian Moore, Global
Retail Consultant and CEO
of
EMR-NAMNEWS
With
GMROII
barely out of the closet following 15 years of ‘digestation’,
it is perhaps time to explore the possibility of the
next phase of the process, Net Margin Return On
Inventory Investment, providing even deeper insight into
the retail value of brands.
Essentially GMROII evolved as a way of linking two
relatively easy measures, Gross Margin (difference
between buying price and selling price) as a percentage
of average stocks at cost. This allowed retailers and
suppliers to appreciate the value of a brand in terms of
the combination of its gross margin and annual rotation,
or rate of sale, rather than simply assessing Gross
Margin and Sales growth. In other words, in the right
hands it was possible to recognise the value in a brand
with a small gross margin, providing it rotated more
frequently than the retailer’s average stockturn.
Once
established it was then possible to apply the GMROII
measure across an entire retail operation, a market, a
store, a department, a category, a SKU and it could even
be used to assess the total value of a supplier’s
portfolio to the retailer, and thus identify the key
value drivers and acknowledge excellent performance in
the supplier-retailer partnership.
From the
beginning it seemed obvious that those gaining some
benefit from the application of GMROII should then
enhance the process by attempting to calculate Net
Margin by SKU, thereby picking up all the costs
associated with retailing the brand, a process that has
become easier for retailers to measure over the years.
However,
for suppliers to enter the process it is first necessary
to apply some inspired guesswork, hoping that even the
application of ultra-conservative estimates will still
demonstrate sufficient value for a partner-retailer to
want to jointly explore the potential in greater depth,
by sharing appropriate data.
In
practice this means applying the following calculation
to a typical brand.
Suppose
your brand has a retail Gross Margin of 35%, vs. a
retailer’s gross margin of 25%. Given average retail
handling and overheads of 15%, and allowing for average
shrinkage of 2%, this leaves a Net Margin on the brand
for the retailer of approximately 18%, all things being
equal… However, reduce this to 12% to cover unknown
costs in the retail operation.
Given
that the average Net Margin of UK multiples is
approximately 4%, it can be seen that not only is your
brand over-performing profit-wise, the resulting
insights should be sufficient to persuade a
partner-retailer to make the analysis more productive by
providing appropriate real data. However, should the
partner require more persuasion, it is possible to
extend the analysis using open domain data. In other
words, using the retailer’s latest annual report
identify Net Margin (% & £), calculate annual stockturn
(sales/stock) and assume an average gross margin of 25%.
In other
words a retailer with annual sales of £10bn, a Net
Margin of 4%, an annual stockturn of 22 times per annum
has an overall NMROII of 88%. This becomes the ultimate
bench mark for both supplier and retailer, in that any
brand with a NMROII greater than the retailer’s average,
has to represent real incremental value to the retailer.
By the
same token, a brand’s sales for the retailer of £150k,
on weekly delivery, with a retail Net Margin of 8%
produces a NMROII of 353% and has to be worthy of
further exploration...(See KamTips)
Producing this level of insight from the retailer’s own
open domain data has to provide a basis for more
collaboration and data-sharing at all levels of the
supplier-retailer relationship. For this reason it can
be beneficial for all multi-level contacts of both NAM
and Buyer to understand, buy into and apply the NMROII
process throughout the organisation.
With
appropriate management NMROII can also help to convince
the retailer of the benefits of fair-share negotiation
by revealing the real value in the relationship, the
ability of the NAM to combine a pan-market view with the
in-depth and essentially narrow perspective of the
retailer.
This
combination of breadth and depth using the NMROII tool
can thus help to elevate the partnership to new levels
of productivity via a true consultancy relationship, at
minimal cost to the retailer.
All else
is detail…
For KamTips on 'Calculating
NMROII',
see
NamNews -
June
2011
Date article published: June 2011