The NamNews High Street Revival Recipe
By
Brian Moore,
Global
Retail Consultant and CEO
of
EMR-NAMNEWS
More
art than science, more craft than art, a pragmatic
‘solution’ that reflects market realities,
appreciates that a High Street is more like a
kitchen than a laboratory, but above all is
commercially sustainable …such is the ‘recipe’
required to help revive UK High Streets.
The big
issue in the High Street is not how many shops are
closed or are closing, but is more about the fact
that most failed shops will not re-open… In truth,
we need to face up to chronic over-capacity in the
High Street. With a current ‘empty-shop’ share of
15%, a rate kept artificially low by non-commercial
lettings, it is perhaps more realistic to anticipate
an over-capacity figure of 30%, and work at making
that proportion of High Street space commercially
viable, aiming at creating a model that would
encourage the populous to return by choice to a
revised High Street shopping environment on a
‘repeat-purchase’ basis….
We believe
that this re-engineering of the High Street should
include the following ingredients, as a minimum.
Residential accommodation:
Here the
issue is achieving commercial viability from the
point of view of a developer. Essentially, if a
developer can buy the freehold for five to seven
adjoining shops, it can be feasible to convert the
first floors to medium-grade residential
accommodation at commercial rents. The ground-floor
can be upgraded to medium-prime retail space, with
minimal in-store storage to optimise selling area,
and a rental model that is part-subsidised by the
residential rentals, and combines low rental with a
percentage of sales to encourage start-up retail
businesses in the High Street.
A further
advantage would be possible reductions in street
crime and infrastructure deterioration or damage
caused by previously unnoticed water-leaks and
infestation, due to higher levels of domestic
occupation in a more lively High Street.
Pop-up
shops to encourage low-risk trial:
In the
short term, pop-up shops could be used on some sites
to encourage low-risk trial of goods and formats.
For
suppliers that can operate in limited time-frames, a
typical pop-up store can operate for as little as
two days up to a period of four to six weeks and
during this period the supplier can test-market a
new product or brand and thus get first-hand
feedback from customers, with an added plus of lower
marketing costs compared with TV.
Specialist shops viability:
Essentially, the purpose of specialist shops in
categories such as toys, bookselling,
consumer-electronics and home entertainment is to
meet a fundamental consumer-shopper need to
physically experience the product. When specialists’
retail prices are so out of line with alternative
formats, it is inevitable that having ‘turned the
knobs’ on a piece of electronic equipment in a
specialist outlet, the shopper will invariably make
a purchase in a mass retailer or online at a
significant discount. There is no legal way of
ensuring fulfilment of the sale by the specialist
retailer unless via a price differential that is so
low that purchasing elsewhere is not worth the
trouble.
It has to
be expected that as these shops cannot compete with
either online providers or the major multiples they
need help in optimising their business model. The
major multiples have reached market dominance by
taking state-of-the-art retailing to new highs, in
effect becoming expert shopkeepers. In fact, these
major multiple retailers have set global standards
in state-of-the-art retailing that have redefined
shop-keeping, and these standards need to be met by
High Street operators in order to survive.
In
practice, suppliers need to be retail business
consultants to specialist and independent shops,
helping them to adapt state-of-art retailing
techniques and practices to their operations.
However, as the cost of this level of service would
rarely be covered by the size of the resulting
order, suppliers need to change their approach to
calculating the profitability of some customer
types. Because specialist and sometimes independent
customers are ‘educating’ the consumer, they are in
fact performing an advertising function for the
brand. Should we not therefore charge say 50% of
the cost of servicing them to the advertising
budget, and continue to call if the remaining cost
is covered by size of order?
Payday loan facilities:
Payday
loan shops represent both a social and commercial
threat to the High Street. Both pawn shops and
online payday loan providers are there to serve a
local need in terms of low-income consumer survival.
However, attempts at justifying the 2,000-3,000%
interest rates by reference to high servicing costs
of small amounts borrowed, coupled with ‘high’ risk
of default are inevitably attracting government
attention.
In
practice, much of this risk is eliminated by
effectively taking ownership of borrowers’
salary/wages cheques until loans have been repaid,
with any default-losses well covered by the usurious
interest rates charged to those who pay… In the
end, the eventual changes to legislation will be too
late and inadequate-for-purpose in restraining
providers that in the old days would simply have
been run out of town…
Instead,
the government should acknowledge that those members
of the community in need of income-supplements
between paydays should be offered government-backed
temporary loans using the payday loan model. This
could include taking ownership of pay-cheques/income
supplements, but offering low-level interest rates,
a move that could help to stabilise household
finances and freeze out current payday-lenders
overnight….
This would
thus liberate existing premises to allow for retail
businesses that could make a more positive
contribution to High Street regeneration from both a
social and a commercial point of view.
Charity shops business model:
Essentially, charity shops perform a vital role in
recycling goods, providing employment and
work-experience to those that might be otherwise
unemployable, and make valuable contributions to
worthy causes. However, the charity retail business
model enjoys several advantages that can make them a
threat to traditional retailers in the High Street.
By
acquiring goods free of charge, employing mainly
volunteers and paying business rates that are
discounted by 90%, they make it impossible for other
retailers to compete. The answer here is to avoid
the temptation to use charity shops as a quick-fix
way of repopulating the High Street. Instead, the
government should limit charity shops to say 5% of
high street retail space, and offer discounted
business rates to start-up retailers in categories
that are vital for High Street development, but are
rendered non-viable by 100% rates demands.
Lease legislation:
It is
vital that government end the 25-year, upward-only
rent reviews, no break-clause legislation, and
replace it with 5-year ‘price-to-market’ reviews,
break-clauses that reflect commercial realities and
channel dynamics, and encourage risk-sharing rental
models that are a combination of minimal fixed
rental and say a 5% share of annual sales.
This
approach will ensure that both landlords and tenants
take a realistic ‘joint-view’ of commercial retail
opportunities, yet give landlords a way of
terminating tenants that cannot optimise sales per
sq. ft. in the leased space.
Business Rates:
Currently
based upon inflation indices, and always out of
phase with market realities, it is unnecessarily
restricting of governments to allow inflation to
‘automatically’ trigger rate increases. Moreover,
retail businesses essential to the neighbourhood
should be allowed the 90% Business Rate discount
already enjoyed by charity shops, to ensure their
commercial viability.
Banks as High Street landlords:
It is easy
to suggest that when banks are High Street landlords
they should simply reduce rents by 50+%, but this
ignores the fact that retail leases are recorded in
a bank’s balance sheet as assets valued at a
multiple of annual rental. Any reduction in rental
would therefore reduce the bank’s capital base and
thus further compromise its ability to lend without
additional capital injections…
In
practice, if a bank’s retail asset values are
significantly out of line with commercial high
street realities, then they might be better off
liquidating such assets, taking a financial hit and
allow new landlords to operate with more realistic
rental models as outlined above.
Commercial viability of the High Street:
In
summary, commercial viability of the High Street
requires a balanced mix of residential, leisure,
retail and offices to generate daytime traffic.
Whilst the natural competitiveness of HORECA
provision will ensure acceptable standards of
pricing and quality, consumer parking and commercial
deliveries have to be accommodated in a positive way
that encourages rather than detracts from
regeneration of the High Street. However,
commercial viability has to be a pre-requisite.
Without
the above ingredients, mixed in a viable way along
the commercial lines suggested above, in effect a
compromise for all stakeholders, then any solution
becomes instead, a recipe for disaster…
This recipe was built on themes raised in a recent
broadcast on Voice of Russia Radio (Radio Moscow) -
See
KamBlog
Date published: April 2012