Realistic optimism, a
way forward in a rapidly changing market...
(How to take positive steps in a
market in turmoil)
By Brian Moore, Global retail consultant and CEO
EMR-NAMNEWS
Given current
market turmoil, increasing customer concentration, with trade funding often
exceeding 20% of supplier sales turnover, it is tempting for suppliers to remain
in defensive mode. However, managed carefully, this high-risk environment can be
a stimulus to growth and recovery…
Whilst harmonising the 4Ps can be a route to consumer
satisfaction when above-the-line budgets are large enough to over-ride trade
resistance, in these normal times a realistic focus upon the 4Cs (consumers,
customers, communities and competitors), appropriately integrated with the
Marketing Mix, may help in achieving corporate objectives..
With the consumer obviously benefiting from supplier
woes in terms of permanently low prices, there will be little support available
from politicians in reversing current market conditions via government
intervention.
Moreover, with technology changing the nature of the
buying-selling relationship, the consumer is more in control of the shopping
process, less reliant upon suppliers and retailers for information, accustomed
to multiple choice, and will seek to dictate the future and pace of their
shopping experience. A real-world approach demands that here-and-now, suppliers
need to place this sophisticated potential consumer within a realistic instore
category context, with all its ‘distractions’, and keep in mind the fact that
the only person who ‘lives, breathes, and sleeps’ the brand is the brand
manager…
Accepting the fact that the retailer uses the brand to
attract consumer-shoppers to the store and into the aisle, there to be
confronted with an own-label alternative for 20% less, the realistic supplier
has the option of either supplying own-label, or making the brand proposition so
compelling in the aisle that the retailer relegates switch-selling to other
categories.. Achieving this level of customer-integration requires that the
supplier not only classify the customer as either Invest, Maintain or
Divest but that appropriate strategies be applied in each case.
This means that a ‘high-invest’ customer has to be treated as
a partner in opportunity and risk, using a shared strategy of equivalent
timeframes, sufficient to allow real innovation a demonstrable payback period.
Part of this investment by the supplier is in a sufficient level of
multi-functional/multi-level resource to facilitate store-level assortment and
execution, via supply chain integration, initially in superstores.
‘Maintain’ accounts still need careful handling, albeit using
the standard service package, especially for risk-averse suppliers. The key
strategy would be to ensure a fair share of available business, apply a level of
service sufficient to avoid losing the account, and attempting to acquire money
by reducing cost and saving, rather than making money via sales growth.
Allowing for the fact that the ‘consumer in a crowd’ requires
separate handling, the analysis and meeting of communities’ needs is an
important part of thriving in turbulent times.. Whilst consumers are affected
by, and attempt to react to changes in the market place as individuals, when
they act as groups they impact and begin to affect company performance. In other
words, communities drive cultural and social change, their response to
technological development determines its pace, and their sense of justice
ultimately results in regulatory, legal and political developments that affect
the company. In other words suppliers need to monitor, anticipate and meet
community need for recognition, and factor a response it into trade strategies,
before the system does it on their behalf…
Finally, in a 4C context, good competitors
theoretically have the same 4Ps, target the same consumers, manage the same
customers and respond to the same communities…wrong!
The big opportunity for good suppliers in current times lies
in recognising that their combination of potential strengths and appeal to the
consumer, customer and community can be unique. By realistically assessing
consumer need and benchmarking competitors’ version of the 4P solution from a
consumer perspective, the good supplier can tailor-make a unique response. By
tailoring a total company offer, seeing their 4Ps vs the competition, from the
point of view of their high-invest customer, their approach will be unique to
that customer.
Finally, by anticipating and meeting community group needs
before they become threats, good suppliers effectively eliminate competitors, by
remaining competitive… just.
Optimising the 4Cs as a competitive advantage…
The 4C combination of consumers, customers, communities and
competitors can represent a route to corporate growth when others are fighting
for survival.
Essentially, real understanding of the brand’s consumer
requires that the supplier forget the propaganda and step into the consumer’s
shoes, explore the brand’s potential ability to satisfy consumption needs, more
effectively than alternative brands and own-label. This means systematically
auditing brand deliverables in terms of performance, price, presentation and
place from the point of view of the consumer and their consumption needs, versus
the competition. Next the supplier needs to make a similar assessment using the
consumer’s shopping needs (choice, availability, price, convenience, opening
hours, atmosphere, display and opportunities for impulse purchase) within a
real-world store environment (‘fair-share’ co-existence with competitor brands
and ‘over-faced’ own label, out-of-stocks, confused signage, varying
shelf-lives, etc) again versus the competing brands and own label.
This realistic assessment of the combined consumption
insights and shopping insights and the resultant synergies will enable the
supplier to optimise brand positioning in the eyes of target consumer-shoppers,
effectively tailoring to consumer need and attempting to be unique in the
process.
Seeking and finding the target consumer-shopper in the
traffic flow of the customer-base will help to qualify some customers as
high-invest. Key measures include Potential, Partnership, Profit and
Performance (for details see selection of a
good trade partner)
Having chosen the high-invest trade partner, it is necessary
to analyse brand/own-label balance on average and within the category, the
generation-mix of own-label reached by the retailer (4 generations from generic,
to me-too, to brand-substitute to brand-exceed), and factor this into the
retailer’s ability to achieve and demonstrate compliance in the aisle.
The next step is to conduct a separate Buying Mix Analysis
from the point of view of key functions within the retailer’s
decision-making-process, compared with the competition. Depending upon the
complexity of retailer-supplier relationship and scale of potential business,
these functions could include buyer, logistics manager, supply-chain manager,
stock-controller, marketing/merchandising manager, operations manager, finance
manager and owners of the business. Each will have an individual perspective on
brand and supplier, effectively comparing the offer and the supplier’s ability
to meet their functional or job needs, versus available competition.
The skilled supplier then has to fuse their combined needs
into an achievable blend or compromise that can be delivered profitably. This
tailor-made approach, with its attendant costs, can obviously only be applied to
the true high-invest customer. All others will have to be offered the
standard package and serviced appropriately.
Having optimised consumer insight and shopper insight, within
high-invest trade partners, it is crucial that the supplier manage the Threats
posed by communities with unsatisfied needs. Essentially, these include
regulatory/legal/political developments, unanticipated cultural/social and
technological change, and perceived abuses arising from trade
concentration/power/internationalisation. All have to be assessed in terms of
their ability to present obstacles in implementing marketing and trade
strategies. It is important for the supplier to judge their ‘manageability’ by
labelling them as things which cannot be influenced but affect the supplier,
things which supplier and customer can influence, things supplier and customer
can do together, and things the supplier can do without the help of the
customer.
Finally, real competitive edge can be achieved via the
completion of a risk-analysis to help in identifying contingency plans in the
event of things going wrong. This involves listing seven things that could go
wrong and then assessing each in terms of impact upon the business (high, medium
or low), and chance of occurrence (high, medium or low) and then agreeing
contingency plans in the case of high impact and high chance of occurrence.
By the same token, the upside can be explored and the
corporate appetite for change increased by analysing opportunities using the
same process. This means identifying seven things that could ‘go right’ and
labelling them high, medium or low in terms of impact and likelihood of
occurrence.
All else is detail…..