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Namnews TNS Market Share Analysis

Discounter Boom Tails Off

The latest TNS Worldpanel grocery market share figures for the 12 weeks ending 14 June 2009 show the sector continuing to ride out the recession and growing strongly at 6.5%. 

Total Till Roll Summary
Great Britain Consumer Spend

 

12 Weeks to 15 June 2008

12 Weeks to 14 June 2009

change

 

%   **

%   **

%

 Total Grocers

100.0%

100.0%

6.5

   Total Multiples

97.4%

97.7%

6.9

     Tesco

30.9%

30.8%

6.2

     Asda

16.6%

16.8%

8.2

     Sainsbury's

15.8%

16.1%

8.9

     Morrisons

11.3%

11.6%

9.3

     Total Co-operative 

9.0%

8.3%

-1.6

      Co-operative 

5.3%

5.2%

6.2

      Somerfield

3.7%

3.0%

-12.7

     Waitrose

3.9%

3.9%

7.0

     Aldi

2.9%

2.9%

8.7

     Lidl

2.3%

2.3%

7.5

     Netto

0.7%

0.7%

0.9

 

 

 

 

 ** = Percentage Share of Total Grocers

 

 

TNS said that there are several signs that shoppers have adopted a more measured approach to the recession and have started to revert to pre-recession behaviour. In particular the stellar growth of Aldi and Lidl has tailed off and both outlets are seeing their rate of growth eclipsed this period by Sainsbury’s and Morrisons. Additionally, Waitrose has enjoyed a considerable ‘bounce’ with annual growth reaching 7.0%.  TNS said that the current advertising featuring the launch of the Essentials range is a big contributing factor as well as early conversions of former Somerfield stores. 

Whilst Tesco had seen its share under pressure it has posted its highest growth so far this year at 6.2%.  This is just a whisker behind the Grocery sector growth so share is virtually unchanged.  Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons all perform strongly, outgrowing the market and adding share. 

The decline of Somerfield (-12.7% year-on-year) may look alarming but it should be remembered that the Competition Commission required them to divest stores following their acquisition by The Co-operative.  In future releases by TNS, Somerfield’s share is expected to progressively decline as the fascias of the remaining stores convert to The Co-operative livery.

An Update On Inflation
Grocery price inflation further decreased since last month and the figure for the 12 week-ending period 14 June 2009 is 7.0% This figure is based on over 75,000 identical products compared year-on-year in the proportions purchased by British shoppers and therefore represents the most authoritative figure currently available.  It is a ‘pure’ inflation measure in that shopping behaviour is held constant between the two comparison periods – shoppers are likely to achieve a lower personal inflation rate as they trade down or seek out more offers.

Total Till Roll - Full Breakdown
Great Britain Consumer Spend
Includes all expenditure through main store tills and excludes petrol & instore concession

 

12 Weeks to 15 June 2008

 12 Weeks to 14 June 2009

change

 

£000s

%   **

 £000s

%   **

%

Total Till Roll

     28,513,680

 

     29,520,770

 

3.5

 Total Grocers

     20,703,280

100.0%

     22,043,600

100.0%

6.5

   Total Multiples

     20,155,380

97.4%

     21,541,290

97.7%

6.9

     Tesco

      6,395,614

30.9%

      6,792,575

30.8%

6.2

     Asda

      3,427,857

16.6%

      3,708,641

16.8%

8.2

     Sainsbury's

      3,263,061

15.8%

      3,552,476

16.1%

8.9

     Morrisons

      2,338,425

11.3%

      2,556,266

11.6%

9.3

     Total Co-operative 

      1,856,067

9.0%

      1,825,813

8.3%

-1.6

      Co-operative 

      1,088,843

5.3%

      1,156,238

5.2%

6.2

      Somerfield

         767,224

3.7%

         669,575

3.0%

-12.7

     Waitrose

         798,696

3.9%

         854,966

3.9%

7.0

     Iceland

         354,486

1.7%

         384,304

1.7%

8.4

     Aldi

         596,841

2.9%

         648,831

2.9%

8.7

     Lidl

         480,072

2.3%

         516,245

2.3%

7.5

     Netto

         151,780

0.7%

         153,140

0.7%

0.9

     Farm Foods

         103,469

0.5%

         117,845

0.5%

13.9

     Other Freezer Centres

           48,191

0.2%

           48,069

0.2%

-0.3

     Other Multiples

         340,818

1.6%

         382,125

1.7%

12.1

   Total Independents

         547,901

2.6%

         502,304

2.3%

-8.3

     Total Symbols

         195,370

0.9%

         180,098

0.8%

-7.8

     Other Independents

         352,531

1.7%

         322,206

1.5%

-8.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

* = Percentage Share of Total Till Roll

 

 

 

 

NOTE: These findings are based on TNS Worldpanel data for the 12 weeks to 14th June 2009. TNS Worldpanel monitors the household grocery purchasing habits of 25,000 demographically representative households in Great Britain. All data discussed in the above announcement is based on the value of items being bought by these consumers.

www.tns-global.co.uk

Published: 24 June 2009

 

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